IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Seton Hall
Big East
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+10.5	#44
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.2	#83
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.8	#41

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.7	#61

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
#1 Seed	2.3%	2.8%	0.6%
Top 2 Seed	5.2%	6.2%	1.6%
Top 4 Seed	13.1%	15.3%	5.5%
Top 6 Seed	23.2%	26.7%	10.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	46.2%	51.5%	27.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	42.6%	47.7%	25.1%
Average Seed	6.7	6.5	7.6

.500 or above	54.5%	60.8%	32.3%
.500 or above in Conference	55.1%	59.1%	40.8%
Conference Champion	6.8%	7.8%	3.3%
Last Place in Conference	8.1%	6.7%	13.0%

First Four	4.5%	4.5%	4.6%
First Round	44.0%	49.3%	25.8%
Second Round	28.1%	31.8%	14.9%
Sweet Sixteen	12.8%	14.6%	6.4%
Elite Eight	5.9%	6.7%	2.9%
Final Four	2.4%	2.8%	1.0%
Championship Game	1.0%	1.1%	0.5%
National Champion	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%

Next Game: Winthrop (Neutral) - 77.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	3 - 3	4 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 3	9 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	13 - 13
Quad 4	1 - 0	14 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	124	Winthrop	W	84-76	78%
Nov 27, 2020	26	@ Louisville	L	71-77	31%
Nov 29, 2020	2	Baylor	L	70-75	34%
Dec 02, 2020	93	@ Rhode Island	W	78-76	56%
Dec 06, 2020	62	@ Penn St.	L	77-79	44%
Dec 08, 2020	313	Wagner	W	86-63	98%
Dec 11, 2020	79	DePaul	W	80-74	71%
Dec 15, 2020	58	@ Xavier	L	73-75	44%
Dec 17, 2020	45	@ Marquette	L	77-80	40%
Dec 20, 2020	41	Providence	W	76-73	59%
Dec 23, 2020	88	Georgetown	W	81-74	74%
Mar 08, 2021	45	Marquette	W	80-77	62%
Mar 08, 2021	58	Xavier	W	76-72	64%
Mar 08, 2021	73	St. John's	W	82-76	69%
Mar 08, 2021	34	Connecticut	W	77-75	57%
Mar 08, 2021	12	@ Creighton	L	73-81	26%
Mar 08, 2021	3	@ Villanova	L	68-78	19%
Mar 08, 2021	51	Butler	W	71-67	62%
Mar 09, 2021	73	@ St. John's	L	79-80	49%
Mar 09, 2021	88	@ Georgetown	W	78-77	54%
Mar 09, 2021	79	@ DePaul	W	77-76	51%
Mar 09, 2021	34	@ Connecticut	L	74-78	38%
Mar 09, 2021	12	Creighton	L	76-78	44%
Mar 09, 2021	3	Villanova	L	71-75	36%
Mar 09, 2021	41	@ Providence	L	73-76	39%
Mar 09, 2021	51	@ Butler	L	68-70	43%
Projected Record						13 - 13	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.5	1.7	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.1		6.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	1.9	3.0	2.3	1.4	0.3	0.0				9.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.9	3.0	3.8	2.4	0.7	0.1	0.0					11.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.0	3.8	4.3	1.9	0.4	0.0							11.5	4th
5th									0.1	1.1	4.0	4.4	1.3	0.2	0.0								11.1	5th
6th								0.1	1.1	4.0	3.9	1.3	0.1										10.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.2	3.8	3.9	1.2	0.1											10.3	7th
8th						0.2	1.3	3.5	3.4	1.0	0.0	0.0											9.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.3	3.0	2.7	0.8	0.1													8.2	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	2.4	1.8	0.5	0.1	0.0													6.9	10th
11th	0.1	0.3	1.0	1.3	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0															5.0	11th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.0	1.9	3.1	4.6	6.5	8.0	9.3	10.2	10.2	10.4	9.2	8.1	6.4	4.5	3.1	1.8	0.8	0.4	0.1			Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
18-2	99.4%	0.8		0.7	0.1
17-3	82.2%	1.5		1.1	0.4	0.0
16-4	53.7%	1.7		1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0
15-5	33.2%	1.5		0.5	0.7	0.3	0.0
14-6	9.7%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.5%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-10	0.0%

Total	6.8%	6.8		4.1	2.0	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		100.0%	42.0%	58.0%	1.0		0.1	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.4%		100.0%	52.1%	47.9%	1.4		0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.8%		100.0%	41.0%	59.0%	1.5		0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.8%		100.0%	34.8%	65.2%	1.9		0.8	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
16-4	3.1%		100.0%	29.1%	70.9%	2.8		0.5	1.0	0.9	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0										100.0%
15-5	4.5%		100.0%	18.3%	81.7%	3.8		0.2	0.7	1.2	1.0	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		100.0%
14-6	6.4%		100.0%	15.5%	84.5%	5.1		0.0	0.3	1.1	1.2	1.4	1.1	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.0		100.0%
13-7	8.1%		97.8%	9.5%	88.2%	6.5		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.4	1.6	1.5	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.2		97.5%
12-8	9.2%		87.9%	6.5%	81.3%	8.0				0.1	0.3	0.6	1.3	1.4	1.4	0.9	0.8	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0			1.1		87.0%
11-9	10.4%		69.6%	5.0%	64.6%	9.2				0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.7	1.2	1.0	1.1	1.0	1.0	0.3	0.0			3.2		68.0%
10-10	10.2%		40.1%	2.5%	37.6%	10.4					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.7	0.7	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0		6.1		38.6%
9-11	10.2%		13.7%	1.8%	11.8%	11.1							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		8.8		12.1%
8-12	9.3%		3.5%	0.5%	2.9%	12.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.0		3.0%
7-13	8.0%		0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	13.3												0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	7.9		0.1%
6-14	6.5%		0.3%	0.3%		15.5																0.0	0.0	6.5
5-15	4.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
4-16	3.1%																							3.1
3-17	1.9%																							1.9
2-18	1.0%																							1.0
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		46.2%	6.4%	39.9%	6.7		2.3	2.9	4.0	4.0	4.8	5.3	4.6	4.6	3.4	3.1	2.9	3.2	1.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	53.8		42.6%